Passing: Tua Tagovailoa (80/115, 1,036 yards, 8 TDs, 3 INTs, 104.1 Rating)
Rushing: Raheem Mostert (39 att, 147 yards, 0 TD)
Receiving: Tyreek Hill (31 rec, 477 yards, 2 TDs)
Tackles: Jerome Baker, Brandon Jones (27)
Sacks: Melvin Ingram (2)
Interceptions: Jevon Holland (1)
Jets DL vs Dolphins OL
It may sound cliché, and possibly redundant, but this game needs to be dictated up front by the Jets, specifically on defense. Miami has the 10th best Offensive Grade by PFF at 71.4 and the 6th-highest Pass Grade at 74.6. For comparison, the Jets are dead last in Offense (60.1) and 29th in Pass Grade. New York’s front four needs to come out firing against a middle of the pack Miami offensive line. Get to Bridgewater early and make him uncomfortable in the pocket to neutralize the deep threat ability. Conversely, the Dolphins’ defensive line is only averaging 1.75 sacks/game, so the patchwork offensive line for the Jets should be able to hold their own. Miami is a blitz-heavy defense (33.3% blitz rate in Week 4 vs Bengals), so it will be another game of chip blocks from running backs and tight ends.
CBs Sauce Gardner/D.J. Reed vs WRs Tyreek Hill/Jaylen Waddle
I have probably highlighted this group in every preview so far, and justifiably so. This will be the hardest test for the cornerback duo so far, due to Hill and Waddle’s unique skill set. Limit the explosive opportunities for the Dolphins’ track stars at wide receiver. Using Sauce to shadow Hill or Waddle, as we have seen him do with other receivers (Andrews, Chase) this season, could be a viable option this week.
The Jets enter their first divisional game of the season in good shape, finishing 2-2 against the AFC North to open the season. Miami has been on the winning side of a few comebacks already this season, which include erasing a 21-point deficit to the Baltimore Ravens. Despite the Dolphins having to lean on their backup quarterback, this team is still capable of making big plays on both sides of the ball. New York will have to play their best game to date in order to pick up the team’s first divisional win under GM Joe Douglas. Even though the Jets are home, and are the healthier team, I believe the Dolphins get the victory this week.
Score: L, 23-21